💡 Expert Analysis: AUDJPY Shows Clear Sell Signal

Fundamental Outlook for AUDJPY

Recent developments in the AUD/JPY market have highlighted a shift in risk sentiment, driven by renewed speculation about the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)’s potential rate-cutting cycle. The pair fell to near 96.00 on Monday, reflecting heightened expectations of a softening monetary policy stance in Sydney. This technical correction aligns with broader market dynamics, where the AUD has underperformed against the Japanese yen amid concerns over inflationary pressures and a potential easing of interest rates. The RBA’s recent signals—particularly its cautious approach to policy rates—have fueled speculation that a rate cut could materialize in the coming months, further weakening the AUD. For traders, this fundamental shift underscores the need to reassess the AUD/JPY’s technical landscape. The fall to 96.00 suggests a key support level is being tested, and if sustained, could trigger further downward pressure as the pair approaches critical resistance zones. The AUDJPY Trade Analysis indicates that the recent price action is a potential early indicator of a broader trend, with the RBA’s policy decisions remaining a pivotal factor. Investors should closely monitor the RBA’s upcoming policy meeting, as any deviation from current forecasts could amplify volatility in the AUD/JPY pair.

The AUDJPY Technical Analysis reveals a complex interplay between short-term trends and long-term fundamentals. The current price action near 96.00 aligns with a recent consolidation pattern, where the pair has tested key levels following a prior peak. The trade signal of 96.357 as an entry point is a calculated response to the technical and fundamental landscape. The target of 95.540 and the stop loss at 96.830 reflect a risk-reward ratio of 1:1, calibrated to manage potential downside while capitalizing on the expected downward momentum. This strategy is underpinned by the RBA’s potential rate cuts, which could further pressure the AUD against the JPY. However, the AUDJPY Trading Forecast also warns of the possibility of a quick reversal if the RBA confirms a rate hike, underscoring the importance of monitoring macroeconomic data. The recent drop to 96.00 serves as a critical confirmation of the underlying trend, validating the AUDJPY Fundamental Analysis that the pair is vulnerable to a deeper correction. For traders, the signal is a pragmatic entry into a potential bearish trend, supported by both technical indicators and the broader economic narrative. fxstreet.com provides further insights into the RBA’s policy outlook, which remains a cornerstone of the AUD/JPY’s price action.

AUDJPY Chart Overview & Sell Setup

For risk-managed execution, we recommend placing a conditional entry with well-defined stop-loss at 96.830 and take-profit above/below based on your strategy. Always confirm signals with personal chart analysis before acting.

The current 15-minute price structure is forming a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows, validating directional strength. This setup meets our criteria for momentum-based trade signals.

In summary, this sell trade in AUDJPY is backed by multiple technical confirmations. From RSI extremes to SMA100 crossovers and ATR compression, the setup aligns with our best-performing Signal framework.


✅AUDJPY Sell Signal – Risk-Reward & Entry Details


  • Symbol: AUDJPY
  • Trade Type: Sell Signal
  • Entry Level: 96.357 or better
  • Take Profit (TP): 95.540
  • Risk Level (SL): 96.830
  • Risk Management: 0.5% to 1% of equity per trade
  • Issued At: 2025.08.12 09:59



📋 Confirm Before Entering AUDJPY Trade

  • Avoid entry during high-impact news releases related to AUDJPY for better risk control.
  • Ensure there’s no major economic data within the next 30 minutes post-entry.
  • For optimal performance, wait for a candle close confirmation before entering.
  • Only enter the trade when price reaches or improves upon the Entry Price.

"Your trading results reflect your discipline, not the market."

Note: This AUDJPY trading strategy is part of our RSI-based system. Always backtest and use proper risk management before live trading.


AUDJPY Sell Signal Chart - RSI Technical Setup and Forecast 2025.08.12 09:59