🔍 Technical Overview: AUDJPY Entering Bearish Zone

Fundamental Outlook for AUDJPY

Fundamental Analysis: The AUDJPY pair may experience some turbulence following recent news and data releases pertaining to Australia and Japan, the countries underlying the two respective currencies. According to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, marking the first contraction since the height of the pandemic in 2020. This unexpected economic downturn has raised concerns about the strength of the Australian economy and, consequently, the Australian dollar. Meanwhile, Japan has been grappling with its own economic challenges, including persistently high inflation. The most recent data shows that Japan's core consumer price index (CPI) rose by 3.2% year-over-year in April 2025, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the eighth consecutive month. Although higher inflation can potentially boost the value of the Japanese yen due to increased purchasing power, it may also reflect underlying economic instability. Additionally, the Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates at near-zero levels – a move that could further weaken the yen. Taking these factors into account, the AUDJPY pair may be influenced by the diverging economic performances of Australia and Japan. With Australia's economy showing signs of weakness and Japan's inflation running high, investors might seek safer havens, leading to a potential downward trend for the AUDJPY pair. However, Japan's loose monetary policy could keep the yen weak, potentially limiting the decline in the AUDJPY pair. Technical and Fundamental Insights: The AUDJPY Trade Analysis reveals a bearish outlook for the pair, in line with the recent fundamental developments. As of the entry price of 96.847, the pair is currently testing a key resistance level near 97.00, which has previously acted as a strong barrier. The lack of momentum to surpass this resistance, coupled with the bearish fundamental backdrop, could provide a compelling argument to consider the sell trade. A more detailed AUDJPY Technical Analysis reveals that the pair has recently formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, which is typically indicative of a potential reversal in market sentiment. Should the price break below the support level at 96.50, this could further validate the bearish outlook and potentially open the way for a deeper correction towards 96.00 or even lower. AUDJPY Live Trade and Trading Forecast: The AUDJPY Trade Signal, as mentioned earlier, is set at an entry price of 96.847, with a take profit level (TP) of 96.200 and a stop loss (SL) at 97.300. This trade strategy attempts to capitalize on the bearish potential of the AUDJPY pair, considering current fundamental and technical factors. However, traders should remain vigilant and adjust their risk management accordingly, given the potential for market volatility and unforeseen shifts in sentiment. To further support the AUDJPY Trading Forecast, let's consider the impact of the U.S.-China tensions, which have recently escalated following the U.S. Department of Commerce's decision to add several Chinese entities to its entity list. The development may exacerbate risks for global growth, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, and weigh on investor sentiment towards the AUDJPY pair. In summary, with Australia's GDP contraction and Japan's high inflation, the AUDJPY pair could face a bearish outlook. Combined with the recent bearish technical signals, a sell trade might be the most favorable strategy for traders. Nevertheless, it remains essential to be nimble and adjust risk management plans as market conditions evolve. *Explore further insights on the AUDJPY pair via the [Australian Bureau of Statistics](https://www.abs.gov.au/) and monitor ongoing developments concerning the U.S.-China tensions.*

AUDJPY Chart Overview & Sell Setup

This setup is ideal for intraday and swing traders looking for high-probability entries. The confluence of RSI, SMA100 breakout, and ATR compression increases the reliability of this signal.

ATR(14) is currently consolidating, which suggests that a breakout move may be forming. Combined with RSI extremes and SMA positioning, this aligns perfectly with our RSI-based trading strategy.


✅AUDJPY Signal Info – Entry Price, TP and SL Guidelines


  • Symbol: AUDJPY
  • Direction Type: Bearish
  • Entry: 96.847 or Better
  • Targeting: 96.200
  • Protection Level: 97.300
  • Risk Management:0.5% of equity.Important! Keep it as low as
  • Trade Opened at: 2025.09.04 04:10



📝 AUDJPY Signal Guidelines & Risk Advice

  • Avoid entering during high-impact trading news related to AUDJPY to reduce risk of sudden volatility.
  • Only enter the trade when price reaches or improves upon the recommended entry price based on RSI signal.
  • Avoid entry during high-impact news releases related to AUDJPY for better risk control.
  • Ensure there’s no major economic data within the next 30 minutes post-entry.
  • Consider a stop-limit order if you expect sudden spikes during London or New York sessions.
  • This trade remains valid until either the Stop Loss or Take Profit is hit.

"One disciplined exit beats ten emotional entries."

Risk Warning: Trading AUDJPY involves substantial risk. This content is not financial advice and is intended for informational use only.


AUDJPY Sell Signal Chart - RSI Technical Setup and Forecast 2025.09.04 04:10