📍 RSI & SMA Confirm Bullish Outlook on EURUSD
Fundamental Outlook for EURUSD
In recent trading sessions, the EURUSD instrument has experienced significant volatility driven by strong U.S. economic data and shifting market sentiment. The U.S. dollar has gained strength, pushing the EURUSD pair down towards the key support level of 1.16. This downward pressure is primarily due to robust U.S. jobs market data and other economic indicators that have bolstered the dollar. The EURUSD pair tumbled sharply below 1.1700, extending its losses and breaking through two critical technical support levels. This trend suggests a potential major shift in the market dynamics, with traders closely monitoring the situation as the pair approaches the 1.16 support level. The strong U.S. data has fueled a dollar rally, which is likely to continue influencing the EURUSD pair in the near term. This fundamental shift in favor of the U.S. dollar could lead to further downside pressure on the EURUSD pair if the support level fails to hold.
From a technical perspective, the EURUSD has fallen to new session lows, driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data. The pair has moved away from the broken 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 1.17025, with buyers attempting to regain control earlier in the day but ultimately failing. The break below the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the August 1 low at 1.1717 marked the first downside target, followed by a test and break of the 200-bar MA. The next key target is the 50% midpoint of the August 1 rally at 1.16549, which aligns with the September 11 low at 1.1658. A decisive move below these levels could open the door toward the swing area between 1.1610 and 1.1630, with the bigger prize being the rising 100-day moving average near 1.1590. For now, sellers are asserting themselves below the key moving averages, and the technical roadmap is pointing lower. With U.S. fundamentals turning in favor of the dollar just as markets had begun to price in Fed easing, the balance of risks has shifted firmly toward more downside pressure in EURUSD. This EURUSD Technical Analysis suggests that traders should be cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the pair.
Price Action & Indicator Insight for EURUSD
For risk-managed execution, we recommend placing a conditional entry with well-defined stop-loss at 1.16440 and take-profit above/below based on your strategy. Always confirm signals with personal chart analysis before acting.
This setup is ideal for intraday and swing traders looking for high-probability entries. The confluence of RSI, SMA100 breakout, and ATR compression increases the reliability of this signal.
Our Extreme RSI Strategy has recently triggered a high-confidence Buy signal in EURUSD. Multiple technical indicators now support a potential trend reversal in favor of buyers, making this a compelling opportunity for short to medium traders.
✅EURUSD Trade Plan – Buy Entry Price & SL/TP
- Trade Symbol: EURUSD
- Trade Direction: Up
- Entry: 1.16913 or Better Price
- Targeting: 1.17530
- Protection Level (SL): 1.16440
- Risk Analysis:0.5% of equity.Important! Keep it as low as
- Trade Opened at: 2025.09.26 13:16
📝 EURUSD Signal Guidelines & Risk Advice
- Ensure there’s no major economic data within the next 30 minutes post-entry.
- For confirmation, wait for a candle close above/below key support or resistance levels on the EURUSD chart.
- This This trading setup remains valid until either the Stop Loss or Take Profit is hit.
- Use this signal with our scalping strategy or swing trading setup depending on your time horizon.
- Apply risk-reward ratio of at least 1:1.5 for this EURUSD trade idea.
"Emotions are expensive — keep them out of your trades."
Disclaimer: The trading idea shared for EURUSD is hypothetical. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
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