🚀 AUDJPY Technical Snapshot – Sell Bias Confirmed
Fundamental Outlook for AUDJPY
The Australian Dollar (AUD) has come under pressure following the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where policymakers maintained the cash rate at 4.35% but signaled a cautious stance on future rate cuts. The RBA emphasized that while inflation is easing, it remains above the target range, suggesting that any reduction in borrowing costs is unlikely in the near term. This dovish sentiment has weighed on the AUD, particularly against the Japanese Yen (JPY), which has benefited from safe-haven demand amid global economic uncertainties. Additionally, weaker-than-expected Australian employment data released earlier this week has further dampened investor confidence in the AUD. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has kept its ultra-loose monetary policy intact, reinforcing the Yen's strength. This divergence in monetary policies between the RBA and BoJ is likely to keep the AUDJPY pair under pressure in the short term. For traders watching the AUDJPY Trade Analysis, this environment suggests a bearish bias, with the potential for further downside as long as the RBA remains hesitant to cut rates.
From a technical perspective, the AUDJPY pair has been trading within a descending channel, with the recent price action confirming a bearish breakout below the 101.00 support level. The next key support level to watch is around 100.00, which aligns with the psychological round number and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the last major uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the oversold territory, indicating that a short-term bounce could be on the cards. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and any pullback should be seen as an opportunity to join the downtrend. The current AUDJPY Trading Forecast suggests a potential move towards the 99.50 level, especially if the RBA's cautious stance persists. Traders should monitor the 100.370 entry level closely, as a break below this could accelerate the decline towards the take-profit target of 99.500. On the upside, a move above 100.950 would invalidate the bearish scenario, suggesting a potential reversal. For more detailed technical insights, traders can refer to Investing.com's technical analysis tools.
Technical Outlook: AUDJPY Sell Trade Plan
Our Extreme RSI Strategy has recently triggered a high-confidence Sell signal in AUDJPY. Multiple technical indicators now support a potential trend reversal in favor of sellers, making this a compelling opportunity for short to medium traders.
In summary, this sell trade in AUDJPY is backed by multiple technical confirmations. From RSI extremes to SMA100 crossovers and ATR compression, the setup aligns with our best-performing Signal framework.
On the 15-minute chart, AUDJPY has closed two consecutive candles below the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA100) at 100.370. This is widely used by professional traders to confirm trend continuation after reversal.
✅Live AUDJPY Sell Signal – SL/TP & Risk Plan
- Trade Symbol: AUDJPY
- Trend Direction: Down
- Entry: 100.370 or even Better
- Target: 9.500
- Protection Level (SL): 100.950
- Risk Analysis:0.5% of equity or adjust accordingly
- Arrived At: 2025.10.09 23:01
💹 Risk Management Tips for AUDJPY Setup
- Ensure there’s no major economic data within the next 30 minutes post-entry.
- Ensure tight spreads and fast execution – ideal for short-term trades like AUDJPY.
- Only enter the trade when price reaches or improves upon the recommended entry price based on RSI signal.
- Avoid entering during high-impact trading news related to AUDJPY to reduce risk of sudden volatility.
- Only enter the trade when price reaches or improves upon the Entry Price.
- Use this signal with our scalping strategy or swing trading setup depending on your time horizon.
"One well-managed trade is worth more than ten impulsive ones."
Disclaimer: This trade signal for AUDJPY is provided for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis before entering a live trade.
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