💡 Expert Analysis: EURNZD Shows Clear Sell Signal

Fundamental Outlook for EURNZD

Fundamental Analysis: The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently announced its plan to raise interest rates by 75 basis points, marking the largest increase in two decades. This decision comes as a response to the surging inflation rates in the Eurozone, which have reached a record high of 9.1% in August 2022. The ECB's decision to hike interest rates is expected to strengthen the Euro against other currencies, including the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Meanwhile, New Zealand's economy is facing challenges due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting lockdowns. The country's GDP contracted by 3.7% in the second quarter of 2022, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.3% in the same period. These economic headwinds have put pressure on the New Zealand Dollar, causing it to weaken against its major counterparts. Taking these factors into account, we can expect the EURNZD instrument to move in favor of the Euro. The ECB's decision to raise interest rates and the economic challenges faced by New Zealand are likely to boost the Euro's strength against the NZD. Technical and Fundamental Insight: Let's blend some technical insights with the fundamental analysis. The EURNZD instrument has been in a downtrend since the beginning of the year, with the pair trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. However, the recent interest rate hike by the ECB has caused a bullish reversal in the pair, with the price breaking above its 50-day moving average. Our trade entry is at 2.02136, with a take profit level at 2.00340 and a stop loss at 2.03340. This trade setup is based on a bearish trend reversal pattern, where the price breaks above the 50-day moving average and retests the previous resistance level. The stop loss is placed above the 50-day moving average, providing a good risk-reward ratio for the trade. With the ECB's decision to raise interest rates, we can expect the Euro to strengthen further against the NZD. The technical indicators also support this view, with the relative strength index (RSI) showing bullish divergence and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) crossing above its signal line. These indicators suggest that the EURNZD pair is likely to continue its uptrend in the short term. In conclusion, the ECB's decision to raise interest rates and the economic challenges faced by New Zealand are likely to boost the Euro's strength against the NZD. The technical indicators also support this view, with the RSI and MACD showing bullish signals. Our trade setup for the EURNZD instrument is based on a bearish trend reversal pattern, with a good risk-reward ratio. As the ECB's decision to raise interest rates is likely to have a significant impact on the EURNZD instrument, we recommend keeping a close eye on any further developments related to the Eurozone's monetary policy.

For more information on the ECB's decision to raise interest rates, you can refer to the ECB's official press release.

EURNZD Chart Overview & Sell Setup

Historical analysis shows that this technical pattern — RSI extreme plus SMA100 breakout — has delivered strong momentum moves in EURNZD. These conditions are often favored by institutional traders for timing entries.

Our Extreme RSI Strategy has recently triggered a high-confidence Sell signal in EURNZD. Multiple technical indicators now support a potential trend reversal in favor of sellers, making this a compelling opportunity for short to medium traders.

In summary, this sell trade in EURNZD is backed by multiple technical confirmations. From RSI extremes to SMA100 crossovers and ATR compression, the setup aligns with our best-performing Signal framework.


✅EURNZD Trade Setup – Sell Signal with Entry and TP/SL


  • Selected Pair: EURNZD
  • Trend: Bearish
  • Entry: 2.02136 or even Better
  • Target Level: 2.00340
  • Protection Level (SL): 2.03340
  • Risk:0.5% of equity.Important! Keep it as low as
  • Trade Time: 2025.10.13 10:37



⚠️ How to Trade This EURNZD Setup Safely

  • This signal is best suited for scalpers and intraday traders.
  • Do not risk more than 1% of account equity on this setup.
  • Avoid entering during high-impact trading news related to EURNZD to reduce risk of sudden volatility.
  • Avoid entry during high-impact news releases related to EURNZD for better risk control.
  • Use a stop-limit order if volatility spikes around key levels.

"Chasing trades is chasing losses — wait for your setup."

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed on EURNZD do not ensure accuracy or timeliness. Independent verification is advised.


EURNZD Sell Signal Chart - RSI Technical Setup and Forecast 2025.10.13 10:37