💡 Expert Analysis: GBPUSD Shows Clear Buy Signal

Fundamental Outlook for GBPUSD

The GBPUSD pair faces significant downward pressure following a disappointing UK labor market report, with the Unemployment Rate holding at 4.7% but wage growth and job creation metrics missing forecasts. This weakness fuels expectations that the Bank of England may accelerate interest rate cuts, creating a stark divergence from the Federal Reserve's rhetoric hinting at prolonged US rate stability. The fundamental imbalance in monetary policy trajectories between the Fed and BoE casts a bearish shadow on Sterling. As traders price in higher odds of UK easing, the British pound risks further depreciation against a resilient dollar, particularly with Federal Reserve Chair Powell's upcoming speech likely reinforcing the US central bank's hawkish stance. For GBPUSD fundamental analysis, this policy divergence remains the dominant driver, overriding short-term technical corrections.

Technically, GBPUSD has shattered critical support at 1.3300, plunging to August 2025 lows near 1.3240 as sellers capitalize on deteriorating fundamentals. The pair now tests the 200-day SMA (1.3220), a crucial inflection point that could trigger either short-covering bounces or activate new bearish momentum toward 1.3150. The breakdown validates our tactical GBPUSD trade signal (Entry: 1.33210, TP: 1.34330, SL: 1.32460), which strategically targets the psychological 1.3400-1.3430 resistance zone where previous support converges with descending trendlines. While the hourly chart shows oversold conditions that may justify temporary stabilization, any rebound should be viewed as a selling opportunity given the fundamental backdrop. Our GBPUSD trading forecast remains bearish below 1.3400, with traders advised to trail stops on breakout momentum plays.

Technical Outlook: GBPUSD Buy Trade Plan

On the 15-minute chart, GBPUSD has closed two consecutive candles above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA100) at 1.33210. This is widely used by professional traders to confirm trend continuation after reversal.

Historical analysis shows that this technical pattern — RSI extreme plus SMA100 breakout — has delivered strong momentum moves in GBPUSD. These conditions are often favored by institutional traders for timing entries.


✅GBPUSD Trade Plan – Buy Entry Price & SL/TP


  • Symbol: GBPUSD
  • Trend Direction: Up
  • Entry: 1.33210 or Better Deal
  • Profit Exit: 1.34330
  • Protection Exit (SL): 1.32460
  • Risk:0.5% of equity
  • Entry Date: 2025.10.14 20:05



📌 Trading Conditions Before Entering GBPUSD

  • This signal is best suited for scalpers and intraday traders.
  • Consider a stop-limit order if you expect sudden spikes during London or New York sessions.
  • Do not risk more than 1% of account equity on this setup.
  • Apply risk-reward ratio of at least 1:1.5 for this GBPUSD trade idea.

"A trader with patience outlasts a trader with prediction."

This signal is generated based on technical and fundamental outlooks for GBPUSD. It does not constitute professional trading advice.


GBPUSD Buy Signal Chart - RSI Technical Setup and Forecast 2025.10.14 20:05